League One · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
12.1942.8%
X3.4327.3%
23.1429.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
LWWWDWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Portsmouth
DLWWDWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.50
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
3.70
11.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
3.50
Total goals
1.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.40goals per match
Portsmouth conceded0.50
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.00goals per match
Bolton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.70
11.60
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.20
Match total
22.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches683
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%41.9%-0.9 pp
Draw27.3%29.3%+1.9 pp
Away29.9%28.8%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.491.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-18.8%
1-08.8%
1-28.2%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.49
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=682.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.7%27.6%–40.3% CI
Draw FT39.4%33.0%–46.2% CI
Away FT26.9%21.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away48.1%