League One · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
11.6556.8%
X3.8024.6%
25.0418.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
LWDWLWWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Carlisle
LLLLLWLLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
1.50goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.80Matchup
Carlisle attack
1.10goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.50
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.90
Match total
17.60
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.40
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches469
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.3%+2.5 pp
Draw24.6%22.6%-2.0 pp
Away18.6%18.1%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.74–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
2-111.7%
1-110.2%
2-09.4%
0-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–3.89
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=469.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.4%43.3%–59.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%26.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT15.3%10.3%–22.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away38.2%