League One · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
12.7933.6%
X3.3228.3%
22.4638.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WWWDWWLLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lincoln
WDLLDWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.90goals per match
Lincoln conceded0.90
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.70goals per match
Reading conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.50
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.10
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches498
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.1%-2.5 pp
Draw28.3%26.1%-2.1 pp
Away38.1%42.8%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.181.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.7%
1-112.4%
1-09.0%
1-27.6%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.035.13
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=498.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.2%18.3%–31.4% CI
Draw FT34.2%27.3%–41.8% CI
Away FT41.6%34.3%–49.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away57.1%