League One · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
12.0047.0%
X3.4727.1%
23.6325.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WWDLDWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Carlisle
DLLLLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.20goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.70
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.20goals per match
Northampton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
9.00
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
21.80
Match total
17.60

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.00
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches648
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%47.8%+0.8 pp
Draw27.1%27.6%+0.5 pp
Away25.9%24.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.551.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.0%
2-19.9%
2-08.5%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.50
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=648.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches217
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.6%34.2%–47.2% CI
Draw FT35.9%29.9%–42.5% CI
Away FT23.5%18.4%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away43.3%