League One · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.4427.3%
X3.3228.3%
22.1144.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
DWDLWLDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Stevenage
LLWWDLDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
2.30
10.40
Total
6.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.90goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.40
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.10goals per match
Exeter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.30
10.40
Match total
6.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.10
Match total
26.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.50
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%22.9%-4.4 pp
Draw28.3%33.1%+4.8 pp
Away44.5%44.1%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.931.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.7%
0-114.1%
1-111.9%
0-27.9%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.07
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=354.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.4%9.3%–21.6% CI
Draw FT51.2%42.5%–59.8% CI
Away FT34.4%26.6%–43.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.4%
2+ goals24.8%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.4%
Away48.0%