League One · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.4627.2%
X3.4827.0%
22.0545.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
WWDWLLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Oxford
LWWLDDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
0.70goals per matchOxford conceded1.60Matchup
Oxford attack
1.20goals per matchBurton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.40
Match total
21.40
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%24.4%-2.7 pp
Draw27.0%26.3%-0.7 pp
Away45.8%49.2%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.00–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.4%
1-110.7%
0-09.9%
1-28.4%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.45–5.21
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.0%13.5%–31.1% CI
Draw FT43.2%33.0%–54.1% CI
Away FT35.8%26.2%–46.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.0%
Away51.9%