League One · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.4627.2%
X3.4827.0%
22.0545.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WWDWLLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Oxford
LWWLDDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burton attack

0.70goals per match
Oxford conceded1.60
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.20goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.40
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%24.4%-2.7 pp
Draw27.0%26.3%-0.7 pp
Away45.8%49.2%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.001.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-110.7%
0-09.9%
1-28.4%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.455.21
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.0%13.5%–31.1% CI
Draw FT43.2%33.0%–54.1% CI
Away FT35.8%26.2%–46.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.0%
Away51.9%