League One · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 20:00
12.2741.0%
X3.2428.7%
23.0730.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
LWDWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
WWWDLWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
7.80N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

2.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
7.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.80
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
27.80
Match total
20.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.2%+1.2 pp
Draw28.7%29.7%+1.0 pp
Away30.3%28.1%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.361.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-012.2%
2-19.9%
0-18.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.57
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches388
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.2%28.7%–38.1% CI
Draw FT39.2%34.4%–44.1% CI
Away FT27.6%23.4%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away44.6%