League One · 2023/24
2024-04-02 · 20:00
12.2741.0%
X3.2428.7%
23.0730.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portsmouth
LWDWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
WWWDLWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
7.80N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portsmouth attack
2.00goals per matchDerby conceded0.70Matchup
Derby attack
1.50goals per matchPortsmouth conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
7.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
27.80
Match total
20.10
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.2%+1.2 pp
Draw28.7%29.7%+1.0 pp
Away30.3%28.1%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.36–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-012.2%
2-19.9%
0-18.8%
0-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.57
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,167.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches388
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.2%28.7%–38.1% CI
Draw FT39.2%34.4%–44.1% CI
Away FT27.6%23.4%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.8%
Away44.6%