League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.4138.8%
X3.2528.8%
22.8932.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WWWDLDWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Port Vale
LWDLLLLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.30goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.60
Matchup

Port Vale attack

0.70goals per match
Northampton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.30
Match total
21.80

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.60
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches674
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%39.8%+0.9 pp
Draw28.8%31.3%+2.5 pp
Away32.4%28.9%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.251.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.4%
0-010.4%
0-19.5%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.67
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=674.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches244
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%23.8%–35.1% CI
Draw FT43.4%37.4%–49.7% CI
Away FT27.5%22.2%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away46.7%