League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.1643.3%
X3.3428.0%
23.2528.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
WLWDWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
DLLLWWWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
1.60goals per matchExeter conceded1.30Matchup
Exeter attack
1.20goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.50
Match total
19.70
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,029
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.5%+0.3 pp
Draw28.0%29.4%+1.5 pp
Away28.8%27.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
1.43–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-011.4%
2-110.3%
0-08.4%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–4.32
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,029.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches339
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.8%32.8%–43.0% CI
Draw FT36.9%31.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.4%21.0%–30.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.0%
Away42.8%