League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.1643.3%
X3.3428.0%
23.2528.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cheltenham
WLWDWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
DLLLWWWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

1.60goals per match
Exeter conceded1.30
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.20goals per match
Cheltenham conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
12.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.50
Match total
19.70

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,029
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.5%+0.3 pp
Draw28.0%29.4%+1.5 pp
Away28.8%27.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.431.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-011.4%
2-110.3%
0-08.4%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.32
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,029.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches339
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.8%32.8%–43.0% CI
Draw FT36.9%31.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.4%21.0%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away42.8%