League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
14.9319.0%
X3.7125.2%
21.6855.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
DLWLLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Lincoln
WWDLLDWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
2.40
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
2.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
2.40
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.10goals per match
Lincoln conceded0.80
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.50goals per match
Carlisle conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.20
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%20.5%+1.5 pp
Draw25.2%25.0%-0.2 pp
Away55.8%54.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

0.831.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-114.1%
0-211.5%
1-07.7%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.545.40
Average total8.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.9%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.526.3%
Over 11.519.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI
Draw FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT49.0%35.6%–62.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.7%
Away63.3%