League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
14.0623.0%
X3.6525.6%
21.8251.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LWWDWLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Barnsley
DWWDWDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
3.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Burton attack

0.70goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.40
Matchup

Barnsley attack

2.20goals per match
Burton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.10
Match total
19.40

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
3.40
On target
4.80
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%20.2%-2.8 pp
Draw25.6%24.9%-0.7 pp
Away51.4%54.9%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

0.991.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-111.7%
1-29.4%
0-28.5%
1-37.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.46
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%8.5%–27.4% CI
Draw FT31.6%21.0%–44.5% CI
Away FT52.6%39.9%–65.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.0%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.4%
Away71.9%