League One · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
11.5361.1%
X4.2122.2%
25.6016.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
WLWWWDWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Reading
DDDLDWDLWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.60goals per match
Reading conceded1.50
Matchup

Reading attack

1.30goals per match
Bolton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
10.50
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches292
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%70.2%+9.1 pp
Draw22.2%16.4%-5.8 pp
Away16.7%13.4%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.240.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.6%
2-011.0%
2-110.6%
1-19.6%
3-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.81
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=292.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.6%46.9%–69.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%19.3%–40.1% CI
Away FT12.9%6.9%–22.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.1%
Away40.0%