League One · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.9747.5%
X3.4227.4%
23.7225.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wigan
LWWWLLDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Burton
LDLLDWWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
8.80
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Wigan attack

1.10goals per match
Burton conceded1.30
Matchup

Burton attack

0.80goals per match
Wigan conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
8.80
Match total
7.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.60
Match total
23.60

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.90
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches790
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%48.5%+1.0 pp
Draw27.4%26.7%-0.6 pp
Away25.2%24.8%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.481.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-012.2%
2-110.6%
2-09.7%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.21
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=790.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches265
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.4%34.6%–46.4% CI
Draw FT35.1%29.6%–41.0% CI
Away FT24.5%19.7%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away41.1%