League One · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.6855.8%
X3.8124.6%
24.7719.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
DWWWDWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Northampton
LWWLLDWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.00
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.40
2.80
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.90goals per match
Northampton conceded2.40
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.50goals per match
Reading conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
7.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.70
Match total
20.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches503
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%61.0%+5.3 pp
Draw24.6%21.1%-3.5 pp
Away19.6%17.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.820.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
1-011.7%
2-011.5%
1-110.3%
3-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.104.03
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=503.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT52.9%45.1%–60.7% CI
Draw FT29.4%22.8%–37.1% CI
Away FT17.6%12.4%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.1%
Away36.6%