League One · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
12.4238.7%
X3.3428.1%
22.8233.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
LWDLLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Bristol Rvs
WLLLWWLWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.50
Against
6.70
11.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.30goals per match
Bristol Rvs conceded1.90
Matchup

Bristol Rvs attack

1.20goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
6.70
11.70
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
19.90
Match total
21.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.30
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches388
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%38.4%-0.3 pp
Draw28.1%27.3%-0.7 pp
Away33.2%34.3%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.331.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-010.8%
1-29.5%
0-19.0%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.49
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=388.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%25.0%–41.6% CI
Draw FT38.7%30.4%–47.6% CI
Away FT28.6%21.2%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away48.7%