League One · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.8750.0%
X3.4727.0%
24.0723.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WLWWDWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Blackpool
LLWLLWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.90goals per matchBlackpool conceded1.10Matchup
Blackpool attack
0.70goals per matchDerby conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
9.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.70
Match total
24.50
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches687
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%51.1%+1.1 pp
Draw27.0%26.9%-0.0 pp
Away23.0%22.0%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.52–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.4%
2-111.6%
1-110.9%
2-010.3%
0-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–4.04
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=687.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.1%32.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT39.8%33.7%–46.3% CI
Away FT22.1%17.2%–28.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away38.9%