League One · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.8750.0%
X3.4727.0%
24.0723.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WLWWDWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Blackpool
LLWLLWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.90goals per match
Blackpool conceded1.10
Matchup

Blackpool attack

0.70goals per match
Derby conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
9.10
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.70
Match total
24.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches687
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%51.1%+1.1 pp
Draw27.0%26.9%-0.0 pp
Away23.0%22.0%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.520.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
2-111.6%
1-110.9%
2-010.3%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.04
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=687.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.1%32.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT39.8%33.7%–46.3% CI
Away FT22.1%17.2%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away38.9%