League One · 2023/24
2024-03-23 · 15:00
14.9219.1%
X3.5726.3%
21.7254.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
DDLWLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Stevenage
WWLLWWDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
2.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
3.40
9.70
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.00goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.30
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.40goals per match
Carlisle conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.40
9.70
Match total
7.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.80
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

7.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
17.40
Match total
27.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.20
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%38.6%+19.5 pp
Draw26.3%29.5%+3.2 pp
Away54.6%31.8%-22.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS40.9%

Historical average

1.021.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.5%
1-113.6%
0-011.4%
0-211.4%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.526.00
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away35.3%