League One · 2023/24
2024-03-23 · 15:00
12.2541.7%
X3.2229.2%
23.2329.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LLWWDWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Port Vale
DLWDLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.70
8.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

0.70goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.70
Matchup

Port Vale attack

0.70goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.70
8.80
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.90
Match total
20.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.70
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,007
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.6%-1.1 pp
Draw29.2%32.4%+3.2 pp
Away29.1%27.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.291.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-011.3%
0-010.3%
2-18.5%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.39
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,006.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches345
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.0%26.4%–36.1% CI
Draw FT44.9%39.8%–50.2% CI
Away FT24.1%19.8%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.1%
Away42.9%