League One · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.0146.6%
X3.2928.5%
23.7624.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Shrewsbury
WLLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Carlisle
LLDLLLLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Shrewsbury attack

0.80goals per match
Carlisle conceded2.30
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.00goals per match
Shrewsbury conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
24.40
Match total
19.10

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.30
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches638
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%47.0%+0.4 pp
Draw28.5%28.2%-0.3 pp
Away24.9%24.8%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.380.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
1-113.3%
0-09.9%
0-19.6%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.08
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=638.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT41.2%34.8%–48.0% CI
Away FT22.7%17.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away39.3%