League One · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
13.3028.4%
X3.3428.0%
22.1543.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
WLWDLLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Oxford
LDLWWLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.10
Against
5.60
11.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.60goals per matchOxford conceded1.90Matchup
Oxford attack
1.00goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.60
11.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
18.90
Match total
21.20
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches552
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%27.5%-0.8 pp
Draw28.0%24.3%-3.8 pp
Away43.6%48.2%+4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.09–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.7%
1-111.4%
1-210.3%
1-08.9%
0-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.51–5.18
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=552.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.4%21.2%–34.6% CI
Draw FT35.1%28.3%–42.6% CI
Away FT37.5%30.5%–45.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.6%
Away57.7%