League One · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
13.3028.4%
X3.3428.0%
22.1543.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WLWDLLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Oxford
LDLWWLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.10
Against
5.60
11.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.60goals per match
Oxford conceded1.90
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.00goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.60
11.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
18.90
Match total
21.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches552
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%27.5%-0.8 pp
Draw28.0%24.3%-3.8 pp
Away43.6%48.2%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.091.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.7%
1-111.4%
1-210.3%
1-08.9%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.18
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=552.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.4%21.2%–34.6% CI
Draw FT35.1%28.3%–42.6% CI
Away FT37.5%30.5%–45.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away57.7%