League One · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
11.9947.0%
X3.3228.2%
23.7624.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
LWDWDLWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Burton
LLDLLDWWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Against
4.80
11.90
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.80goals per match
Burton conceded1.60
Matchup

Burton attack

0.80goals per match
Exeter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.80
11.90
Match total
7.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.60
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches764
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%47.8%+0.8 pp
Draw28.2%27.1%-1.1 pp
Away24.9%25.1%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.450.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-012.3%
2-110.6%
0-110.3%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.10
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=764.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches235
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%29.5%–41.6% CI
Draw FT40.4%34.4%–46.8% CI
Away FT24.3%19.2%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.8%
Away40.0%