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League One · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00

Derby

vs

Bolton

12.0845.0%
X3.3927.6%
23.4327.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DWLWWDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bolton
WWLWDWLLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.70
Against
2.90
8.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.90goals per match
Bolton conceded1.30
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.90
8.60
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.40
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches643
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%42.9%-2.1 pp
Draw27.6%30.0%+2.4 pp
Away27.3%27.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.46–1.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-010.6%
2-19.3%
0-18.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.62–4.36
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches217
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.8%26.0%–38.3% CI
Draw FT37.8%31.6%–44.4% CI
Away FT30.4%24.7%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away52.1%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamBoltonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareDerby vs BoltonCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLeague OneLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLeague One team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.