League One · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 20:00
11.7354.1%
X3.7325.1%
24.4820.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
WWLWWWDWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Oxford
LLDLWWLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.80
10.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.20goals per match
Oxford conceded1.60
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.00goals per match
Bolton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.80
10.80
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
22.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.30
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches503
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%54.7%+0.6 pp
Draw25.1%27.0%+2.0 pp
Away20.9%18.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.731.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-112.1%
1-011.7%
2-09.5%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.98
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=503.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%35.9%–51.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%30.8%–46.3% CI
Away FT18.1%12.8%–25.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away41.6%