League One · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.5037.5%
X3.1629.7%
22.8632.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Shrewsbury
WWLLWLLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Exeter
LDLLLWWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.40
Against
7.50
11.60
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Shrewsbury attack

1.10goals per match
Exeter conceded2.00
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.90goals per match
Shrewsbury conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.50
11.60
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
19.20

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches653
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%33.8%-3.7 pp
Draw29.7%35.1%+5.4 pp
Away32.8%31.1%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.151.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-011.0%
0-010.7%
0-19.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.62
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=652.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches216
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.4%21.0%–32.6% CI
Draw FT49.5%42.9%–56.2% CI
Away FT24.1%18.9%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away44.4%