League One · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
11.4266.1%
X4.4621.0%
27.2912.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
DLWDWLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Burton
LLLDLLDWWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
10.20
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

2.00goals per match
Burton conceded1.60
Matchup

Burton attack

0.70goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
10.20
Match total
7.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.70
Match total
3.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.50
Match total
21.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.30
On target
2.70
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%75.0%+8.9 pp
Draw21.0%15.0%-6.0 pp
Away12.9%10.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

2.020.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.6%
2-015.0%
2-112.1%
3-09.3%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.84
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.3%51.3%–77.1% CI
Draw FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI
Away FT14.3%7.1%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.5%
Away32.7%