League One · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
11.6656.4%
X3.8024.6%
24.9419.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WDWLWWDWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Reading
WDDDLDWDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
8.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.90goals per match
Reading conceded1.40
Matchup

Reading attack

1.40goals per match
Derby conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
8.60
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%57.7%+1.3 pp
Draw24.6%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away19.0%19.6%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.740.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
1-011.7%
2-010.7%
1-19.9%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.91
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=494.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%40.1%–56.0% CI
Draw FT35.8%28.5%–43.8% CI
Away FT16.2%11.1%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away37.8%