League One · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 12:00
12.5736.4%
X3.4027.5%
22.6036.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield Weds
WWWWWWDDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Derby
WWLLLWLWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.30
Against
5.60
7.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sheffield Weds attack

2.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.80
Matchup

Derby attack

1.70goals per match
Sheffield Weds conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.60
7.90
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.40
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.70
Match total
20.10

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.40
On target
5.40
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%35.9%-0.6 pp
Draw27.5%27.4%-0.1 pp
Away36.0%36.7%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.291.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-211.0%
1-010.2%
0-18.9%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.81
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%28.3%–43.9% CI
Draw FT35.7%28.3%–43.9% CI
Away FT28.6%21.7%–36.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away52.9%