League One · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 12:00
11.5959.1%
X4.2322.2%
25.0418.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
WLLLLLDLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Accrington
LDDDLDLLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.80
Against
5.80
10.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.20goals per match
Accrington conceded1.70
Matchup

Accrington attack

0.40goals per match
Oxford conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.80
10.80
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
26.20
Match total
22.30

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.20
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches172
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%64.5%+5.4 pp
Draw22.2%14.0%-8.3 pp
Away18.7%21.5%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

2.010.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
2-112.8%
2-09.3%
1-18.1%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.87
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=172.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.1%43.3%–71.6% CI
Draw FT23.3%13.2%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.6%9.7%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.0%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.1%
Away44.2%