League One · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 12:00
12.3539.9%
X3.6026.1%
22.7634.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
DLDWWWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Morecambe
LLLLDLLLDW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.50
Matchup

Morecambe attack

0.50goals per match
Exeter conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.90
Match total
19.00

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.40
On target
1.90
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%35.7%-4.2 pp
Draw26.1%26.9%+0.9 pp
Away34.0%37.4%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

1.451.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-211.5%
1-07.7%
2-27.7%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.06
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%26.4%–52.8% CI
Away FT34.7%22.9%–48.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals24.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away59.2%