League One · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.3868.0%
X4.8119.5%
27.5012.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WWWDWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Burton
LWLWLWDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

2.10goals per match
Burton conceded1.90
Matchup

Burton attack

1.10goals per match
Plymouth conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.30
Match total
19.60

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%70.1%+2.1 pp
Draw19.5%19.7%+0.2 pp
Away12.5%10.2%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.360.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.5%
1-110.8%
2-110.2%
1-09.6%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.543.44
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.5%43.4%–72.2% CI
Draw FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Away FT9.8%3.9%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals56.1%
3+ goals24.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.2%
Away29.3%