League One · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
12.7434.4%
X3.3528.2%
22.5237.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
DLLDLWWDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Barnsley
WDWWDWLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.90
10%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
10.50
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
1.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.60goals per matchBarnsley conceded0.90Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.80goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
10.50
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.70
Match total
22.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
2.80
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%31.2%-3.2 pp
Draw28.2%27.4%-0.7 pp
Away37.4%41.4%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.16–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.7%
1-113.5%
1-08.5%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.87
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%20.5%–33.8% CI
Draw FT37.3%30.3%–44.8% CI
Away FT36.1%29.2%–43.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away57.4%