League One · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.5162.4%
X4.1122.9%
26.4414.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWDWWDLLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Portsmouth
LLDWLWWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
6.70
9.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.20
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.20goals per match
Derby conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.70
9.30
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.30
Match total
24.10

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%61.9%-0.5 pp
Draw22.9%24.7%+1.8 pp
Away14.6%13.4%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

1.750.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
2-014.2%
1-112.6%
0-07.5%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.243.63
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=239.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%40.6%–61.7% CI
Draw FT30.5%21.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT18.3%11.4%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals30.5%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away31.7%