League One · 2022/23
2023-04-18 · 19:45
13.9723.7%
X3.5026.9%
21.9149.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Shrewsbury
WLLWWWWWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Plymouth
WDDLWLLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
5.20
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Shrewsbury attack
1.90goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.20Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.30goals per matchShrewsbury conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.20
9.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.40
Match total
22.90
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches243
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%21.8%-1.9 pp
Draw26.9%25.1%-1.8 pp
Away49.3%53.1%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
0.93–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-213.2%
1-112.8%
1-212.3%
1-010.3%
0-110.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.49
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=243.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%14.2%–33.1% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.1%
Away56.9%