League One · 2022/23
2023-04-18 · 19:45
14.1722.6%
X3.3728.0%
21.9149.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
DDDWDDWLWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Barnsley
LWDWWDWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
5.90
8.90
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.00goals per matchBarnsley conceded1.10Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.80goals per matchLincoln conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.90
8.90
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.10
Match total
23.40
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.50
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.6%28.9%+6.3 pp
Draw28.0%23.2%-4.8 pp
Away49.4%47.9%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS43.7%
Historical average
0.97–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.4%
0-113.4%
1-112.0%
1-211.3%
0-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.99–5.75
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.0%15.9%–39.6% CI
Draw FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI
Away FT36.0%24.1%–49.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.0%
Away50.0%