League One · 2022/23
2023-04-18 · 19:45
11.1880.2%
X6.8213.9%
216.135.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ipswich
WDWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Port Vale
LWDLLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
3.30
Scored
1.10
0.30
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.80
Against
4.40
9.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ipswich attack
3.30goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.80Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.10goals per matchIpswich conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.40
9.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
19.30
Match total
23.90
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
7.30
On target
3.50
18%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%96.6%+16.3 pp
Draw13.9%0.0%-13.9 pp
Away5.9%3.4%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS20.7%
Historical average
2.93–0.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-024.1%
2-020.7%
1-017.2%
4-010.3%
7-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.21–2.41
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home86.7%
Away13.3%