League One · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
12.6235.9%
X3.2429.1%
22.6935.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oxford
DWLWLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Bolton
DWLWWLLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.10
11.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oxford attack
1.10goals per matchBolton conceded0.90Matchup
Bolton attack
1.50goals per matchOxford conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.10
11.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.50
Match total
24.10
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches715
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%31.2%-4.7 pp
Draw29.1%29.5%+0.5 pp
Away35.0%39.3%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.17–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
0-112.3%
1-28.7%
1-08.3%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.77
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=715.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT38.0%32.0%–44.4% CI
Away FT35.4%29.5%–41.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away55.9%