League One · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
15.2517.8%
X3.9024.0%
21.6158.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
DDWLWWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sheffield Weds
DWWDWWLLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.40
Against
3.80
11.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.50goals per match
Sheffield Weds conceded1.20
Matchup

Sheffield Weds attack

1.30goals per match
Burton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.80
11.40
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
21.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%16.0%-1.8 pp
Draw24.0%18.7%-5.3 pp
Away58.2%65.3%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

0.931.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.7%
1-313.3%
0-112.0%
0-29.3%
1-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.796.01
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away64.7%