League One · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
14.1522.7%
X3.6026.2%
21.8451.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bristol Rvs
WLWLDLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Derby
DDWWLLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.90
Against
5.20
10.80
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bristol Rvs attack
0.80goals per matchDerby conceded1.70Matchup
Derby attack
1.50goals per matchBristol Rvs conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.20
10.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.30
Match total
20.20
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.80
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%20.9%-1.8 pp
Draw26.2%20.9%-5.3 pp
Away51.2%58.3%+7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
0.94–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.3%
1-111.2%
1-211.2%
0-29.6%
1-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.53–5.42
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away68.9%