League One · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 12:00
12.7534.1%
X3.4827.0%
22.4138.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
DDDLDWWWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Plymouth
DWDDLWLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
11.00
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.50goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.20Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.20goals per matchExeter conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
11.00
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.40
Match total
23.10
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches247
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%36.0%+1.9 pp
Draw27.0%28.3%+1.4 pp
Away38.9%35.6%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.34–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
0-19.7%
0-08.9%
1-08.9%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–5.23
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=247.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.7%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.535.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.6%18.1%–37.2% CI
Draw FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI
Away FT35.4%25.8%–46.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.6%
Away50.6%