League One · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
11.6556.8%
X3.8824.2%
24.9419.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Plymouth
LWWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lincoln
LLDWDDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.60
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.90goals per matchLincoln conceded1.20Matchup
Lincoln attack
0.90goals per matchPlymouth conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.40
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.50
Match total
22.30
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.80
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches346
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%56.6%-0.2 pp
Draw24.2%23.4%-0.8 pp
Away19.0%19.9%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.74–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.3%
2-110.7%
2-010.1%
1-19.8%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.13–3.79
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=346.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%34.7%–53.0% CI
Draw FT35.5%27.1%–44.7% CI
Away FT20.9%14.4%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away38.2%