League One · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
11.6557.1%
X3.8424.5%
25.1318.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWWWDWWDLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LLWWLLDLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.90goals per match
Milton Keynes Dons conceded2.00
Matchup

Milton Keynes Dons attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
8.50
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.70
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches317
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%56.8%-0.3 pp
Draw24.5%24.6%+0.1 pp
Away18.4%18.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.700.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-112.3%
2-110.4%
2-08.5%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.74
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=317.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.7%36.0%–55.8% CI
Draw FT37.2%28.1%–47.3% CI
Away FT17.0%10.8%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.7%
Away38.3%