League One · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
15.1118.4%
X4.0023.5%
21.6258.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
WWWWDLWDLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Plymouth
DDWDDLWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.60
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.80goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.30
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.10goals per match
Morecambe conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.00
Match total
23.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.80
On target
3.80
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%17.4%-1.0 pp
Draw23.5%17.4%-6.1 pp
Away58.1%65.1%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

0.971.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.8%
1-311.6%
1-211.6%
2-110.5%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.015.57
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away75.0%