League One · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
15.7016.5%
X3.8624.4%
21.5959.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Forest Green
WWLLLLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Derby
DDDWWLLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Forest Green attack

0.90goals per match
Derby conceded1.70
Matchup

Derby attack

1.30goals per match
Forest Green conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
10.30
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.80
Match total
20.80

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.60
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%6.9%-9.6 pp
Draw24.4%31.0%+6.7 pp
Away59.1%62.1%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

0.721.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-010.3%
0-110.3%
0-210.3%
1-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.455.93
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.527.6%
Over 11.517.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.4%
Away64.3%