League One · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
12.8333.3%
X3.2229.2%
22.5137.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
LDDDLDWWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bolton
LDWLWWLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.90
11.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Bolton conceded1.20
Matchup

Bolton attack

1.60goals per match
Exeter conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.90
11.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches506
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%31.8%-1.4 pp
Draw29.2%27.1%-2.2 pp
Away37.5%41.1%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.121.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-111.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.1%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.90
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=506.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches172
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.7%23.3%–36.9% CI
Draw FT34.3%27.6%–41.7% CI
Away FT36.0%29.2%–43.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.0%
Away54.1%