League One · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
13.6925.5%
X3.5326.7%
21.9747.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
DDDWLWWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Barnsley
WDLWDWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
11.60
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.60goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.00
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.50goals per match
Burton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
11.60
Match total
11.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.20
Match total
3.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.20
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%22.2%-3.3 pp
Draw26.7%27.6%+0.9 pp
Away47.8%50.2%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.061.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
0-111.7%
1-210.9%
0-27.9%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.575.37
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=239.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.5%10.0%–28.6% CI
Draw FT41.3%30.0%–53.6% CI
Away FT41.3%30.0%–53.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.7%
Away58.7%