League One · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:00
13.3628.0%
X3.3328.2%
22.1543.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWWWWDWWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ipswich
DWLDDLDDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.50
Against
3.80
8.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

2.30goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.10
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.40goals per match
Derby conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.80
8.30
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
17.60N=10
6.10
On target
6.10
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches390
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%23.8%-4.2 pp
Draw28.2%29.7%+1.5 pp
Away43.8%46.4%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.001.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-211.8%
0-011.3%
0-110.8%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.14
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=390.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%14.0%–27.7% CI
Draw FT46.2%37.8%–54.7% CI
Away FT33.8%26.3%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.7%
Away52.3%