League One · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:00
12.2841.2%
X3.3927.7%
23.0331.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cheltenham
WLLDDLWDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Burton
LDLWLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.00
Total goals
3.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

0.90goals per match
Burton conceded2.30
Matchup

Burton attack

1.30goals per match
Cheltenham conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
17.90
Match total
20.90

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches656
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%43.0%+1.8 pp
Draw27.7%27.6%-0.1 pp
Away31.0%29.4%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.441.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
1-010.4%
0-09.0%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.58
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=656.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%28.3%–41.1% CI
Draw FT40.7%34.2%–47.4% CI
Away FT24.9%19.5%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away42.6%