League One · 2022/23
2023-03-28 · 19:45
13.0131.3%
X3.2828.7%
22.3540.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WLDDDLDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Barnsley
WWDLWDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
11.20
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Barnsley conceded0.70
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.50goals per match
Exeter conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
11.20
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches473
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%27.9%-3.4 pp
Draw28.7%23.9%-4.8 pp
Away40.0%48.2%+8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.031.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.7%
1-112.7%
1-010.6%
1-29.9%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.785.27
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=473.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.7%25.0%–39.2% CI
Draw FT33.5%26.7%–41.1% CI
Away FT34.8%27.9%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away50.9%