League One · 2022/23
2023-03-25 · 15:00
12.5936.3%
X3.3628.0%
22.6435.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Peterboro
WLWLWLWDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Derby
WDDDWWLLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
9.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Peterboro attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.60
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Peterboro conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
9.50
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.00
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches487
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%37.8%+1.4 pp
Draw28.0%26.1%-1.9 pp
Away35.7%36.1%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.331.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-210.9%
1-010.5%
0-18.4%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.86
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=487.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%31.7%–47.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%27.2%–42.5% CI
Away FT26.2%19.7%–33.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away51.0%