League One · 2022/23
2023-03-25 · 15:00
12.3539.9%
X3.1030.3%
23.1529.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fleetwood Town
WLLLLLWWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lincoln
LLLLDWDDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.80
Against
4.40
10.40
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fleetwood Town attack
1.20goals per matchLincoln conceded1.20Matchup
Lincoln attack
0.70goals per matchFleetwood Town conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.40
10.40
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.70
Match total
21.10
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.7%+1.7 pp
Draw30.3%30.1%-0.1 pp
Away29.8%28.2%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
1.23–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-012.7%
0-010.8%
0-19.9%
2-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.26
Average total9.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches259
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%27.0%–38.4% CI
Draw FT42.5%36.6%–48.6% CI
Away FT25.1%20.2%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away44.4%